Former Adviser to the President of the Russian Federation (Vladimir Putin , – Ed. ), and now president of the Institute of Economic Analysis Andrei Illarionov implies that the Russian-Georgian war may resume after the July 6. That his opinion because it will end on 6 July the Russian military exercises Kavkaz-2009 , as well as at that date, appointed a visit to Russia President of the United States Barack Obama . With this statement A. Illarionov spoke at a press conference in Moscow on June 24, said the site Kasparov.Ru .

A. Illarionov suggested that in July of this year could be repeated the scenario, which was used by Russia in August 2008 – then Russian troops invaded the territory of Georgia was a few days after the end of the exercises Kavkaz-2008 . This visit B. Obama in Russia will be used to show the world that a new round of war with Georgia agreed with the United States, noted A. Illarionov.

In this regard, he recalled the meeting, Prime Minister of Russia Vladimir Putin and former U.S. President George W. Bush in Beijing in 2008, the day of the official start of hostilities in the territory of Georgia. And Moscow has also used this meeting to show that Washington does not condemn her actions in the Caucasus, said the publication.

As an indication of the continuation of the war with Georgia A. Illarionov calls, above all, the actions of Russia to facilitate the withdrawal from the conflict zone of observation OSCE missions and the UN, and the increasing attacks in the conflict zone, including to the European observers. The analyst assumes that the primary goal of the campaign could be the possible termination of the existence of Georgia as a sovereign state, its decay into a few small quasi-entities, the destruction of the unified government and military institutions.

Thus A. Illarionov suggested that from the West to the actions of Russia are not followed by any reaction due to the fact that Western leaders do not understand the intentions of the Russian leadership.

During the press conference Illarionov presented his progress report on the reconstruction of the events of the Russian-Georgian war. In his view, the preparations for the War of 2008 began in 2001, when Russia began to introduce the people in leadership of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. In a more active phase of the training came in 2004 when Russia began the active supply of arms to the region, as well as the introduction of Russian officers in the cadre of military units of the unrecognized republics.

According to A. Illarionov, no one in the world have no doubt that the actions of Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili 7 Aug., 2008 was a response to the multi provocation carried out by Russia in South Ossetia: in particular, the introduction into the territory of another person's state of Russian military forces, the shelling of Georgian villages by South Ossetia militia, controlled by Russia and the evacuation of the population of South Ossetia, which was yet implemented on 2 August.

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